See story POLITICS Election Tories Knife. The campaign group’s data, released today, would give the Tories a majority of 92, with Labour coming in second with 199 predicted seats. The polling analysis was conducted by Focaldata and is based on a sample size of almost 40,000 British adults. Infographic PA Graphics PA Graphics, Lib Dems/Green pact in England. [240][241], On 27 November, Labour announced it had obtained leaked government documents; they said these showed that, despite denials, the Conservatives were in trade negotiations with the US over the NHS. Infographic PA Graphics PA Graphics, Smallest majorities at 2017 general election. [199], Before candidate nominations closed, several planned candidates for Labour and for the Conservatives withdrew, principally because of past social media activity. Some parties in Northern Ireland operate on an all-Ireland basis, including Sinn Féin and Aontú, who are abstentionist parties and do not take up any Commons seats to which they are elected. [citation needed], The Conservatives were judged the worst of the main parties on climate change by Friends of the Earth with a manifesto which mentioned it only ten times.[109]. The agency's social media approach is described as purposefully posting badly-designed social media material, which becomes viral and so is seen by a wider audience. The organisation challenged Labour supporters to devote a week or more to campaigning full-time (as of 4 December, 1,400 people had signed up). [245], On 16 July 2020, the UK Government confirmed Russian agents had almost certainly tried to interfere in the election. [97] In a Question Time special featuring four party leaders, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn said that he would stay neutral in the referendum campaign. Infographic PA Graphics PA Graphics, MPs retiring from the House of Commons at general elections. ", "What is in the Liberal Democrats manifesto? The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS). Thus far Jeremy Corbyn, Nicola Sturgeon, Jo Swinson & Sian Berry have confirmed. featured in 23.9% of coverage and men in 76.1%. Johnson did make a statement covering these two issues, something which Farage referenced as key when announcing he was standing down some candidates. "We had a party which was largely supportive of Remain, but many of us represented Leave constituencies.". General election polls: Who will win election 2019? ", "Corbyn was big factor in Lib Dem election failure, says Davey", "Bath parliamentary constituency – Election 2019", "Wera Hobhouse MP: The Lib Dems shot ourselves in the foot by attacking Labour. The Conservative Party, having failed to obtain a majority in the 2017 general election, had faced prolonged parliamentary deadlock over Brexit while it governed in minority with the support of the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), a situation which had forced the resignation of the previous Prime Minister, Theresa May. They wish to maintain the "triple lock" on pensions. [178][179][180] 16.5% of Liberal Democrats posts were highlighted, which related to claims they are the only party to beat Labour, the Conservatives or the SNP ‘in seats like yours’. Infographic by PA Graphics PA Graphics, General Election 2019 'big beasts' at risk. Are his constituents as shocked as he is? [239], The Conservatives banned Daily Mirror reporters from Johnson's campaign bus. [256] Justin Welby, the Archbishop of Canterbury, endorsed Rabbi Mirvis's intervention. Tonight, YouGov will publish its MRP poll – the most eagerly anticipated of the election campaign. This was the same Scottish seat from the 2015-17 Parliament that returned the country's sole Labour MP, Ian Murray. [321] Most notable was the 'red wall' turning blue in the election, which secured the Conservative majority. latest news, feel-good stories, analysis and more, 'Time running out' to agree Brexit trade deal as 'intensive talks' set to begin, EU starts legal action against UK's plan to override Brexit divorce bill, Boris Johnson's law-breaking Bill to override Brexit deal cleared by Commons, Just 24% of UK businesses are 'fully ready' for Brexit, MPs to get £3,300 pay rise as coronavirus puts millions of jobs at risk, Britain’s biggest hoarder dies suddenly leaving behind £4,000,000 treasure trove, Student, 19, found dead in his halls of residence in Manchester, Boris to make statement on Monday with three-tier lockdown announcement expected, KFC worker horrifies fans by revealing fast food secrets. See story POLITICS Election. In some cases your question will be published, displaying your name and location as you provide it, unless you state otherwise. Labour retained 39 other seats in the capital but lost Kensington, which it had won by 20 votes in 2017, back to the Conservatives. They said that Labour's manifesto would not increase UK public spending as a share of national income above Germany. But some current and ex-MPs have said Mr Corbyn's unpopularity contributed to Labour losing dozens of seats. The predicted Tory figure of 366 MPs is based on the Conservatives having received the support of roughly three-quarters of the Brexit Party’s vote share. The election led to both Labour and the Liberal Democrats having leadership contests: the former as Corbyn resigned, the latter as Swinson failed to be elected as an MP. Charlotte Hodges, Prime ministers with smallest constituency majorities to defend at a general election. Read how the Beast of Bolsover was beaten. Independent Premium Comments can be posted by members of our membership scheme, Independent Premium. Mr Johnson overall satisfaction rating had declined by two points over the week from minus 14 to minus 16, with 58 per cent saying they were dissatisfied and 42 per cent satisfied with his performance as PM. [235] A week before election day, former Conservative prime minister John Major warned the public against enabling a majority Conservative government, to avoid what he saw as the damage a Johnson-led government could do to the country through Brexit. [114], The Liberal Democrat manifesto plans to raise an extra £36 billion/year from taxes over the course of the parliament, with sources including:[111], There are increased commitments of £37 billion current spending and £26 billion investment spending, which would overall lead to the UK's debt as a percentage of GDP falling, partly due to improved economic conditions which would result from staying in the EU. ", "Labour's Brexit policy is clear. This is then combined with larger census data to work out how many people of a certain demographic live in each area. [150] However, it would have taken 78% of people voting tactically to prevent a Conservative majority completely, and would not have been possible to deliver a Labour majority. [49] On 11 November, Farage announced that his party would not stand in any of the 317 seats won by the Conservatives at the last election. Infographic PA Graphics PA Graphics, Bellwether seats at UK general elections. Some of these seats have not had a Tory MP in decades, and in the case of Burnley it had been more than a century. [32][33] Anyone who qualified as an anonymous elector had until midnight on 6 December to register. [182] ITV Cymru Wales aired a debate featuring representatives from the Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, Plaid Cymru and the Brexit Party on 17 November, hosted by Adrian Masters. As a result, they formed a minority government, with the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) as their confidence and supply partner. [162] How Brexit might effect the union between England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland received some prominence on TV but little coverage in the press. The line plotted is the average of the last 15 polls and the larger circles at the end represent the actual results of the election. Meanwhile, Labour's Helen Goodman, who lost her Bishop Auckland seat to the Conservatives on Thursday, told BBC Radio 4's Today programme that "the biggest factor was obviously the unpopularity of Jeremy Corbyn as the leader". In this scenario, Labour would win just 199 seats while the Lib Dems would also go backwards, finishing with 17 seats. Charlotte Hodges, Candidates standing in the 2019 General Election.

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